RESEARCH TOOL / DECISION LAB

Open it.
Or keep it sealed.

Compare both choices at the same future date. Model pull variance, chase upside, realised selling value, sealed growth, reprint risk, fees, storage, and what opened-value proceeds could earn elsewhere.

01 / PRODUCT

Choose a starting profile

Illustrative defaults—every input remains editable.

02 / RESULT

Decision comparison

Both paths are valued at the end of your selected holding period.

Open now£129Expected future value

Keep sealed£187Expected future value

Expected edge−£58−£58 · -30.9%

Win probability74%12,000 simulations

Outcome range

PathP10MedianMeanP90

Open now£58£100£129£182

Keep sealed£71£169£187£328

What would change the answer?

Today's unrealised P/L+£36

Base pull EV needed to match holding£193

Approximate annual growth needed to match opening-5.6%

03 / INPUTS

Stress-test your assumptions

Use current quotes and evidence from the exact product and region you are evaluating.

Product today

Your cost basis£Current sealed value£Holding period (years)

Opening path

Base pull EV (ex chase)£Chase probability%Chase value£Pull-value volatility%

Sealed path

Expected sealed growth / year%Sealed-price volatility / year%Reprint probability over period%Value loss if reprinted%Storage & insurance / year£

Selling & opportunity cost

Market value actually realised%Selling fees%Return earned after opening%

04 / METHOD

How to read the result

Opening is modelled as an immediate uncertain basket of pulls, sold after a market-realisation haircut and fees, then compounded at your alternative return. Keeping sealed is modelled as a volatile annual price path with reprint risk, selling fees, and storage costs. Cost basis is shown as context, but does not affect the recommendation because it is already sunk. The tool compares the full distributions—not only two averages.

The recommendation is most sensitive to pull EV, realised sale prices, sealed growth, and reprint assumptions. Defaults are research placeholders, not live market data. Consider tax, liquidity and your own circumstances before acting.

TCG BENCH / RESEARCH ASSISTANT

Make sense of the evidence.

Answers use your current scenario assumptions; these are not verified market observations.

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