CARD CATALOG / FOUR GAMES

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    RESEARCH TOOL / SINGLE CARD

    Measure the signal.
    Price the uncertainty.

    Track observed prices, test a seven-day model against unchanged prices, then explore your own assumptions.

    Research slab prices & grading potential for this printing →

    Collection status

    Observed prices are available. Daily history will continue to accumulate.

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    BEYOND THE PRICE

    What deserves your attention?

    Tournament adoption, card-related announcements and community activity add context to the market.

    Global tournament adoption

    Awaiting refresh
    0.0%

    Last 7 days: inclusion in complete decklists

    0 / 2 lists · 0.0 pp vs preceding 7 days

    14-day sample: 24 / 58 player entries with usable lists.

    The sample may not represent the wider market. Missing lists are not zero adoption; all printings share gameplay adoption.

    Card-related announcements

    Awaiting refresh
    0

    Checked announcements mentioning this card number

    A mention does not establish a ban or price impact. This signal is not used in the displayed estimate.

    Community activity

    Not available
    —

    Discussions attributable to this card

    Data is not available yet. No estimated sentiment score is substituted.
    Market context is not a price prediction. New signals need sufficient observations and measured results before their value can be assessed.
    OBSERVED DATA / MEASURED PERFORMANCE

    Evidence before prediction.

    Daily market snapshots and Japanese tournament decklists. A refreshed snapshot is not a live transaction quote.

    Latest market snapshot$3.522026-10-18 · USD
    Daily price observations692026-07-25 → 2026-10-18
    Last 7 days: top-four inclusion0.5%1 / 184 complete lists
    Against the preceding 7 days-0.02 ppPercentage-point change; all printings

    Tournament adoption covers every GD05-102 printing; its effect on this printing’s price is unproven. Sold volume and listing supply are not connected. Additional research feeds are shown above.

    No valid market price; gaps preserved: 2026-07-24

    Historical training examples are available, but missing exact recent-price dates prevent a current estimate.

    7-day walk-forward backtest

    ModelTest windowsMAE (USD)Unchanged-price MAERMSE (USD)MAE improvement
    Price momentum5$0.42$0.23$0.54-81.3%
    Price + Japan tournaments0————
    Price + global tournament adoption0————
    Price + official mentions0————
    Price + community mentions0————

    MAE is average absolute error; RMSE penalizes large misses. Negative improvement means worse than unchanged price. Each baseline uses that model’s exact test dates.

    Price + global tournament adoption: Awaiting enough first-seen observations and matured price outcomes; not used in the displayed estimate.

    Price + official mentions: Awaiting enough first-seen observations and matured price outcomes; not used in the displayed estimate.

    Price + community mentions: Awaiting enough first-seen observations and matured price outcomes; not used in the displayed estimate.

    Research model’s next 7-day estimate (unvalidated): — · Unchanged-price baseline: $3.52. No uncalibrated rise probability is shown.

    Method and per-window results

    Ridge regression with fixed penalty 1. Each fold trains on at least 14 completed seven-day outcomes available at that origin. Scaling uses training data only. Tournament signals lag one day and expire after two additional days. Evaluation windows are seven days apart; missing exact-date prices are not interpolated.

    Model / originTarget dateTraining outcomes throughPredictedActualBaseline
    Price momentum / 2026-08-212026-08-282026-08-21 (14)$4.10$4.99$5.06
    Price momentum / 2026-08-282026-09-042026-08-28 (21)$4.53$4.60$4.99
    Price momentum / 2026-09-042026-09-112026-09-04 (28)$4.27$4.96$4.60
    Price momentum / 2026-09-112026-09-182026-09-11 (35)$5.22$4.79$4.96
    Price momentum / 2026-09-182026-09-252026-09-18 (42)$4.64$4.63$4.79
    Market observation updated: 2026-10-18
    TCG BENCH / RESEARCH ASSISTANT

    Make sense of the evidence.

    Answers use this printing’s observed prices and backtest, with a calculator for arithmetic.

    Checking assistant availability…

    Explore a what-if scenario

    7-DAY EDITABLE SCENARIO$3.52+0.0%
    Latest observed price$3.52
    Scenario move+0.0%
    Probability—Not calibrated
    01 / MODEL OUTPUT

    Price path

    Adjust a signal and the forecast path recalculates immediately.

    Observed daily historyScenario midpointIllustrative spread (not calibrated)
    02 / INPUTS

    Scenario assumptions

    Manual what-if inputs, not observed signals. These sliders do not change the backtest above. Tournament change uses percentage points; other changes use percent.

    03 / EXPLAINABILITY

    What is moving the model?

    Relevant mention velocity+0.0 pts
    Top-four inclusion change+0.0 pts
    Sold-volume change+0.0 pts
    Active-listing supply change+0.0 pts
    04 / VALIDATION

    Scenario method

    This sandbox retains fixed illustrative weights: mentions 0.08, tournament adoption 0.12, volume 0.10 and supply −0.07. Its midpoint and spread are assumptions, not outputs from the fitted research model above.

    Observed data and measured performance are listed above. Social, volume and supply inputs here are manual assumptions.